Attacks on Black Sea grain infrastructure and a fertilizer shock from the Iran war are hitting global agriculture at both ends of the production cycle. Add an El Niño forecast to disrupt rainfall across major growing regions, and the damage lands hardest on the 2027 and 2028 growing seasons in places that can least absorb it.

Michael Werz’s work focuses on the nexus of food security, climate change, migration, and emerging countries. He is an international advisor at the Hamburg Sustainability Conference and a founding member of the WP Intelligence Council on Global Security.

Prior to our 2026 Putting resilient food systems at the heart of geopolitical security event in New York on Thursday, September 24, read Michael’s full article here…

Hunger Warfare and a Fertilizer Crisis Are Straining Global Food Supplies | Council on Foreign Relations