The Forum for the Future of Agriculture held a workshop on market outlooks and policy implications for the agricultural and food sectors on November 19, 2024 in Brussels.
The key points covered included:
- An overview of current conditions in agricultural and energy commodity markets, including price trends, production, and inventory levels. This highlighted the volatility and uncertainty in these markets in recent years.
- An analysis of the relationship between food price inflation and broader inflationary pressures, showing that food prices have led the way in driving up inflation globally.
- A discussion of long-term trends in commodity prices, including the dominance of long-term factors like population growth in driving agricultural prices versus the more cyclical nature of energy and industrial commodity prices.
- Perspectives on policy priorities and challenges for OECD countries, the EU, and globally in addressing issues of food security, sustainability, productivity, and competitiveness in the agricultural and food sectors.
The discussion emphasized the need for better data, measurement, and analysis to inform policymaking, as well as the importance of balancing economic, social, and environmental objectives in policy approaches. The panelists also highlighted the complexities and trade-offs involved in driving a transition towards more sustainable and resilient food systems.
Videos from this event
2024 Markets outlook workshop – Introduction
Mark Titterington
2024 Markets outlook workshop – Food inflation: Is this time different?
John Baffes, Angelo Di Mambro
2024 Markets outlook workshop – Can we have the fuel and eat it?
Petr Havlík, Angelo Di Mambro
Summaries from this event
Articles/News
2024 Markets outlook workshop summary
Dec 02, 2024
Read NowConfirmed speakers (in alphabetical order)
John Baffes
Senior Agriculture Economist, Development Economics Prospects Group, World Bank
John Baffes
Senior Agriculture Economist, Development Economics Prospects Group, World Bank
John Baffes is Senior Economist at the World Bank’s Prospects Group where he leads the World Bank’s commodity price forecasting process and oversees the management of the commodity price database. With a rich background in various units within the World Bank, including Latin America, South Asia, East Africa, Evaluation, and Research, John brings a diverse perspective to his work environment. His contributions extend beyond the confines of the World Bank, with numerous chapters and articles published in academic journals covering economic development, agricultural economics, resource economics, and applied econometrics. John also teaches an executive MBA course on Applied Econometrics for Commodity Markets. Prior to his academic pursuits, John gained invaluable experience managing a commodity trading company, solidifying his practical understanding of commodity market dynamics. John holds degrees in Economics from the University of Athens, Greece (BS), Agricultural Economics from the University of Georgia, U.S. (MS), and Agricultural and Resource Economics from the University of Maryland, U.S. (Ph.D.).
Pierre Bascou
Director for Markets and acting Deputy Director-General for Markets and International - DG Agriculture and...
Pierre Bascou
Director for Markets and acting Deputy Director-General for Markets and International - DG Agriculture and Rural Development - European Commission
Pierre Bascou is currently Director for Markets and acting Deputy Director-General for Markets and International in the Directorate General for Agriculture and Rural Development of the European Commission. In these roles, Pierre oversees the promotion and expansion of Europe’s trade in agriculture and food and the strengthening of the European Union’s international cooperation to improve food security and the sustainability of the EU agricultural policy. Pierre is also responsible for promoting the competitiveness, resilience and diversity of the agricultural sector in the EU to ensure the long-term food security as part of a sustainable food system.
Doctor in Agricultural Economics (1989; Imperial College of London, UK) and agronomic engineer (1986; ESA Toulouse, FR), Pierre spent most of his career working for the European Commission in the Directorate General for Agriculture and Rural Development (DG AGRI).
Before being appointed as Director for Markets in 2022 and acting Director-General for International and Markets in 2023, Pierre was previously Director in charge of sustainability (DG AGRI; 2014 to 2022). Between 2010 and 2014 he was Head of the Unit responsible for Agricultural Policy Analysis and Perspectives. From 2003 until 2009 Pierre was heading the Unit in charge of the economic analysis of EU agriculture for the conception, the management and the evaluation of the Common Agricultural Policy.
Joseph W. Glauber
Senior Research Fellow, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Joseph W. Glauber
Senior Research Fellow, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Joe Glauber is a Senior Research Fellow at the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) in Washington, DC and until January 2024 served as interim Secretary of the Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS). He also holds appointments at the Center for Strategic and International Studies and the American Enterprise Institute. Prior to joining IFPRI, Glauber spent over 30 years at the US Department of Agriculture, including as Chief Economist from 2008 to 2014. From 2007-2009, Glauber was the Special Doha Agricultural Envoy at the office of the U.S. Trade Representative where he served as chief agricultural negotiator in the Doha talks. He is the author of numerous studies on agricultural insurance, trade policy and U.S. farm policy.
Tassos Haniotis
Special Advisor for Sustainable Productivity, Forum for the Future of Agriculture; Senior Guest Research Scholar,...
Tassos Haniotis
Special Advisor for Sustainable Productivity, Forum for the Future of Agriculture; Senior Guest Research Scholar, IIASA
Petr Havlík
Program Director, International Institute for Applied Systems (IIASA)
Petr Havlík
Program Director, International Institute for Applied Systems (IIASA)
Petr Havlík joined IIASA in 2007 as a research scholar in the former Forestry Program and is currently the Biodiversity and Natural Resources Program (BNR) Director. Within BNR, he also leads the Integrated Biosphere Futures Research Group (IBF).
His research interests are in integrated modeling of natural resources and ecosystems management for the development of transformations in food and bio-based sectors that enable satisfying human needs while ensuring the sustainable use of terrestrial and marine environments. In this context, he also led the development of the renowned IIASA Global Biosphere Management Model (GLOBIOM).
He coordinates the institute’s contributions to global land use related foresight and assessment activities with European Commission funded research projects, and with international agencies such as the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), and the World Bank. At the national level, Havlík coordinates the contribution to policies and regulatory processes in, among others, China, the European Union, Indonesia, and the USA. These projects generated funding for IIASA of about EUR 14 million.
While working at IIASA, he also held a three-year joint position with the International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI).
Havlík has been among the World’s most Highly Cited Researchers since 2018 and was ranked by Reuters as the sixth most influential climate scientist worldwide. His scientific excellence is also recognized by his appointment as a lead author for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6), and the leading roles he plays in other international scientific networks, such as the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP).
Havlík received his PhD from the University of Montpellier 1 in France, and Mendel University in Brno, Czech Republic.
Lee Ann Jackson
Head of Division, Agro-food Trade and Markets, OECD
Lee Ann Jackson
Head of Division, Agro-food Trade and Markets, OECD
Lee Ann Jackson is an experienced operational and strategic leader committed to working on key global issues with proven record of management in multi-cultural environments. Creative problem-solver, curious about alternative views and comfortable mediating conflict. Dynamic speaker and moderator in international dialogues. Dedicated international professional passionate about organizational learning and delivering a positive impact.
David Laborde
Director for Agrifood Economics division, Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations
David Laborde
Director for Agrifood Economics division, Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations
David Laborde is the Director for Agrifood Economics division at the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. He has been leading the division since February 2023. In this role, he supervises a number of flagship publications, such as the State of Food Security and Nutrition (SOFI) or the State of Food and Agriculture (SOFA) and leads the work of the division on policy monitoring, policy reform, and realignment of incentives to support agrifood system transformation. He also provides leadership on two priority areas for the institution: resilience and bioeconomy.
Before joining FAO, David Laborde worked at the International Food Policy Research Institute of the CGIAR in Washington D.C. for 16 years as part of the Markets, Trade, and Institution Division. He led the research theme on Macroeconomics and Trade and was also a co-director of the Ceres2030 project.
David Laborde’s research interests include food security and nutrition, especially in the context of globalization and climate change. He has worked extensively on measuring and modelling domestic and border farm and food policies in a general equilibrium context, as well as on reforms of these policies facing environmental (climate change, biofuels, sustainability) and social (poverty) issues. Since 2015, he has been focusing on costing the roadmap to achieving SDG2 in a globalized context while considering the role of goods, capital, and migration flows while delivering on key climate actions.
David Laborde has developed a number of partial equilibrium models, in particular, the MIRAGE and MIRAGRODEP models, and databases such as MAcMapHS6 on tariffs as well as TASTE software. He has been a contributor to the GAP database and a GTAP research fellow since 2005. For his contributions, he received the Alan Powell award in 2018.
Throughout his career, David Laborde has published extensively, having more than 150 publications, and edited a number of books and high-level policy reports.
Jurgen Tack
Secretary General, European Landowners' Organization
Jurgen Tack
Secretary General, European Landowners' Organization
Jurgen Tack studied biology (marine ecology) at Brussels Free University where he also obtained his PhD in Sciences. Within the Framework of the Kenya Belgium Project in Marine Sciences (Coastal Farms Kenya) he developed a number of oyster farms along the Kenyan coast. In 2000 he joined the team of the Belgian Biodiversity Platform (Belgian Science Policy Office) where he was responsible for European and international science policy in the field of biodiversity and biodiversity related research. In 2007 he became the CEO of the Research Institute for Nature and Forest (a research organization under the umbrella of the Flemish Authority). In 2015 he became Secretary-General of the National Science Foundation (Flanders) In 2016 he took the position of Scientific Director at the European Landowners’ Organization (ELO), CEO at Landelijk Vlaanderen (Flemish Landowners’ Organisation) and CEO of the Aanspreekpunt Privaat Beheer Natuur en Bos (an advisory organ for private landowners on the management of nature and forest). In 2023 he became Secretary-General of the European Landowners Organisation (ELO). He coordinates several EU projects on private land conservation. On behalf of ELO he chairs the European Commission’s Large Carnivore Platform and acts as expert for the EU Biodiversity Platform and the EU Expert Group on Cultural Heritage.
Mark Titterington
Co-Founder & Director, Forum for the Future of Agriculture
Mark Titterington
Co-Founder & Director, Forum for the Future of Agriculture
Ann Tutwiler
Chair of the Global Alliance for Improved Nutrition (GAIN) and Senior Fellow at Meridian Institute
Ann Tutwiler
Chair of the Global Alliance for Improved Nutrition (GAIN) and Senior Fellow at Meridian Institute
Ann Tutwiler is the Chair of the Global Alliance for Improved Nutrition and a member of the board of CABI. In addition, she is a Senior Fellow at Meridian Institute and Chair of the Advisory Council for the Food and Agriculture Benchmark at the World Benchmarking Alliance. Previously, Ann chaired the Water, Land and Ecosystems Research Program of the CGIAR as well as the Access to Seeds Foundation Supervisory Board.
Ann is also a former Director General of Bioversity International and served as Deputy Director General of the Food and Agriculture Organization in Rome, Italy. She was also an adviser to the U.S. Secretary for Agriculture, Tom Vilsack, where she worked to develop and implement Feed the Future, during the Obama Administration.
Confirmed Moderators (in alphabetical order)
Angelo Di Mambro
Agrifood editor at Euractiv
Angelo Di Mambro
Agrifood editor at Euractiv
Angelo Di Mambro is a journalist specialised in EU policies about environment, climate, agriculture, food and health. Angelo joined Euractiv in January 2024 as editor for EU agriculture and food policies. Based in Brussels since 2011, he has authored publications on the global challenges facing agriculture, the Common Agricultural Policy, innovation in agriculture and emerging plant pests, gave presentations on food risk communication, and coordinated multimedia projects for news organisations and international scientific consortia. In 2019-23, he covered the EU Green Deal for ANSA, Italy's leading news agency.
Agenda
Nov 19, 2024
Arrival of participants
Introduction
- Mark Titterington, Co-founder & Director, Forum for the Future of Agriculture
Setting the scene
Food inflation: Is this time different?
- John Baffes, Senior Agriculture Economist, Development Economics Prospects Group, World Bank
Can we have the fuel and eat it? Land use pressures and sustainability questions
- Petr Havlik, Program Director, International Institute for Applied Systems (IIASA)
The blissful linearity of market outlook and the nonlinear nature of their uncertain prospects
- Tassos Haniotis, Special Advisor for Sustainable Productivity, Forum for the Future of Agriculture
Followed by Q&A session
Moderator
- Angelo di Mambro, Agrifood editor at Euractiv
What does all this mean for policies?
Panel discussion
- Lee Ann Jackson, Head of the Agro-food Trade and Markets Division, OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate
- David Laborde, Director for Agrifood Economics Division, Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations
- Pierre Bascou, Director for Markets and acting Deputy Director-General for Markets and International – DG Agriculture and Rural Development – European Commission
- Ann Tutwiler, Chair of the Global Alliance for Improved Nutrition (GAIN) and Senior Fellow at Meridian Institute
- Joseph Glauber, Senior Research Fellow, IFPRI, CGIAR
- Tassos Haniotis, Special Advisor for Sustainable Productivity, Forum for the Future of Agriculture
Followed by Q&A session
Moderator
- Angelo di Mambro, Agrifood editor at Euractiv
Conclusions and closing
Closing remarks
- Jurgen Tack, ELO Secretary General
Concluding remarks
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